Pre-tourney Rankings
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#102
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#92
Pace66.0#252
Improvement+1.5#121

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#189
First Shot-3.7#285
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#12
Layup/Dunks+1.7#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#311
Freethrows-0.2#204
Improvement+4.5#20

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#48
First Shot+6.1#31
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#268
Layups/Dunks+1.0#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#34
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#66
Freethrows+0.3#163
Improvement-3.0#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round12.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 1.01.0 - 4.0
Quad 24.0 - 2.05.0 - 6.0
Quad 36.0 - 5.011.0 - 11.0
Quad 412.0 - 1.023.0 - 12.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 317   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-65 93%     1 - 0 -2.3 -6.7 +4.0
  Nov 10, 2018 249   Troy W 62-58 88%     2 - 0 -4.1 -12.3 +8.4
  Nov 13, 2018 301   North Alabama W 69-58 92%     3 - 0 +0.0 -6.3 +6.3
  Nov 17, 2018 50   @ Seton Hall W 66-64 23%     4 - 0 +14.5 +0.0 +14.6
  Nov 21, 2018 93   Pittsburgh L 73-75 48%     4 - 1 +3.3 +3.9 -0.5
  Nov 24, 2018 303   Central Arkansas W 73-61 92%     5 - 1 +0.7 -8.3 +8.6
  Dec 01, 2018 69   Butler W 64-52 51%     6 - 1 +16.5 -7.0 +23.6
  Dec 05, 2018 143   @ Southern Illinois L 56-61 51%     6 - 2 -0.6 -15.7 +15.3
  Dec 09, 2018 85   Oregon St. W 65-61 56%     7 - 2 +7.1 -5.1 +12.5
  Dec 16, 2018 15   @ Houston L 64-68 10%     7 - 3 +14.6 +4.8 +9.6
  Dec 19, 2018 309   NC Central W 74-65 93%     8 - 3 -2.9 -4.6 +1.6
  Dec 22, 2018 13   Florida St. L 59-81 14%     8 - 4 -5.7 -5.9 +1.0
  Dec 30, 2018 201   Appalachian St. W 83-55 83%     9 - 4 +22.7 +8.5 +15.3
  Jan 06, 2019 133   Rhode Island W 60-53 69%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +6.7 -9.5 +16.4
  Jan 09, 2019 225   Massachusetts W 65-62 85%     11 - 4 2 - 0 -3.4 -6.1 +3.0
  Jan 12, 2019 216   @ La Salle W 71-64 68%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +6.8 -0.7 +7.4
  Jan 15, 2019 244   @ Fordham W 63-60 75%     13 - 4 4 - 0 +0.7 +1.0 +0.2
  Jan 18, 2019 174   Saint Joseph's W 68-57 78%     14 - 4 5 - 0 +7.5 -6.7 +14.3
  Jan 23, 2019 160   @ Duquesne L 73-77 58%     14 - 5 5 - 1 -1.3 -7.0 +6.1
  Jan 26, 2019 86   Davidson L 53-54 56%     14 - 6 5 - 2 +2.1 -5.7 +7.6
  Jan 30, 2019 184   Richmond L 81-84 80%     14 - 7 5 - 3 -7.2 +2.1 -9.3
  Feb 02, 2019 133   @ Rhode Island L 54-65 48%     14 - 8 5 - 4 -5.8 -6.7 -0.8
  Feb 05, 2019 63   Dayton W 73-60 49%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +18.0 +10.6 +9.0
  Feb 08, 2019 174   @ Saint Joseph's L 61-91 60%     15 - 9 6 - 5 -28.0 -4.9 -26.5
  Feb 13, 2019 270   @ George Washington W 73-58 78%     16 - 9 7 - 5 +11.4 +5.4 +7.0
  Feb 16, 2019 216   La Salle W 62-49 84%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +7.2 -10.1 +17.8
  Feb 23, 2019 63   @ Dayton L 62-70 29%     17 - 10 8 - 6 +2.5 -1.6 +3.5
  Feb 26, 2019 44   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-71 20%     17 - 11 8 - 7 +7.4 +7.9 -0.8
  Mar 02, 2019 155   George Mason W 81-71 75%     18 - 11 9 - 7 +7.8 +4.8 +2.7
  Mar 06, 2019 160   Duquesne W 85-75 77%     19 - 11 10 - 7 +7.1 +3.9 +2.5
  Mar 09, 2019 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 57-66 43%     19 - 12 10 - 8 -2.6 -4.1 +0.6
  Mar 14, 2019 184   Richmond W 71-68 72%     20 - 12 +1.5 +7.9 -5.8
  Mar 15, 2019 63   Dayton W 64-55 38%     21 - 12 +16.8 +2.1 +15.9
  Mar 16, 2019 86   Davidson W 67-44 45%     22 - 12 +28.9 +12.1 +21.9
  Mar 17, 2019 119   St. Bonaventure W 55-53 54%     23 - 12 +5.6 -2.0 +8.0
Projected Record 23.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.5 4.9 43.7 51.0 0.4
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.5 4.9 43.7 51.0 0.4